Document Type : Research Paper
Authors
1
Associate Professor of Geography and Urban Planning, University of Zanjan, Department of Geography, Zanjan.
2
Assistant Professor of Geography and Urban Planning, University of Tarbiat Modares , Department of Geography, Zanjan
3
Assistant Professor of Geography and Urban Planning, University of Zanjan Department of Geography, Zanjan.
Abstract
.The present study uses a cross-impact analysis technique, one of the most common and accepted predictive methods, by using the Mick-Mac software to analyze the urban prosperity components of the metropolitan metropolis of Tabriz. For this purpose, firstly , all the factors involved in urban development and prosperity were analyzed and using the Delphi method, 78 components in five areas (productivity, infrastructure, quality of life, Equity and inclusion, and environmental sustainability) were extracted as urban prosperity indicators. Cross-impact/ structural analysis was used to analyze the data using MICMAC software application. The results of the research indicate Tabriz metropolis is a system instability that most variables are scattered around the diagonal axis, and on the Scattered page, the five categories of factors (Effective factor, Two-sided factor, Regulation factor, Effectiveness factor, Independent factor) are identifiable. Finally, of the 78 factors mentioned after checking the amount and the degree of effectiveness the of factors in connection to each other and on the future status of the prosperity metropolis of Tabriz with direct and indirect methods, of the following 15 key factors (Unemployment rate, Literacy rate, Durable housing, Public transport capacity, Poverty, Gini coefficient, Women's Employment, cultural centers, Maternal mortality, air pollution, Infant mortality, Marginalization Youth employment, Public Schools, Industry) that having the greatest role in the future status of prosperity metropolis of Tabriz were selected .
Keywords
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