Effective drivers in the regeneration of worn-out tissues of Kermanshah metropolis With the approach of future research and scenario writing

Document Type : .

Authors

• Moslem Rostami ¹
• saman Pirayesh ²

¹ Assistance Professor, Department of Geography& urban planning, Kermanshah Branch, Islamic Azad University, Kermanshah, Iran

² Master of Geography & Urban Planning,Kermanshah Branch, Islamic Azad University, Kermanshah, Iran

10.30495/jupm.2024.33577.4525

Abstract

the current research was conducted with the aim of investigating the key drivers of sustainable regeneration of worn-out tissues of Kermanshah metropolis with the approach of future research and scenario writing. The type of applied research and its investigation method is analytical-exploratory. 30 experts were polled as a statistical sample through the Delphi technique. The data collection tool was a researcher-made questionnaire, which was confirmed through face validity and Cronbach's alpha reliability of (0.736). Driving factors were identified using Micmac software and several uncertainties were considered for each of them. Then, important scenarios were developed using ScenarioWizard software. The output results of Micmac software in a stable system with 83.29% degree of filling, which indicates the high influence of variables on each other, show the variables: encouraging investors in the process of renovation and improvement, improving the income and employment of residents, good urban governance, device performance Monitoring and inspection, reduction of the bureaucracy system, exemption of residential unit builders from duties and tariffs, and the gap between the planning levels of national development and urban development are considered as the key drivers of sustainable regeneration of worn-out tissues. Also, the results obtained from the ScenarioWizard software show that the future of sustainable regeneration of worn-out tissues of Kermanshah metropolis is in an unfavorable situation and the possibility of organizing the worn-out tissues of the studied area is low from the point of view of sustainable urban regeneration and requires serious attention of planners and City managers.

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